KENFKF Premier League · Matchday 2Sunday, 18 October 2026

Murang'a SEAL

6th · 7 pts

5–1FULL TIME

Posta Rangers FC

17th · 4 pts

41% Murang'a

29% Draw

30% Posta

OUR PICK

Murang'a SEAL to win

Model probability 41% · fair odds

2.41

Expected goals

1.23 – 1.00

Confidence

Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X212.41X3.4923.34

Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.63

Both scoreGG2.10NG1.81

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.53

Over 1.5

65%

Over/Under 2.5@1.63

Under 2.5

61%

Both teams to score@1.81

55%

Double chance@1.40

71%

Season stats

Murang'a SEALPosta Rangers FC

2.2Goals per game0.6

1.8Conceded per game1.6

1.40Points per game0.80

40%Win rate20%

2Goal difference-5

7Form, last 5 (pts)4

Murang'a SEAL form

DWLWL

A APS Bomet0–0

H Nairobi United3–2

A 3K2–1

H Posta Rangers FC5–1

A GOR Mahia4–2

Posta Rangers FC form

LDWLL

H 3K1–2

A Bandari0–0

H KCB1–0

A Murang'a SEAL5–1

H Shabana0–1

Head to head

Murang'a

Draw

Posta

Oct 2026Murang'a SEAL – Posta Rangers FC5–1

Mar 2026Murang'a SEAL – Posta Rangers FC1–0

Oct 2025Posta Rangers FC – Murang'a SEAL2–2

Apr 2025Posta Rangers FC – Murang'a SEAL3–2

Dec 2024Murang'a SEAL – Posta Rangers FC1–0

FKF Premier League table

#TeamGPGDPts

1GOR Mahia5+412

2KCB5+310

3AFC Leopards5+39

4Kenya Police5+18

53K5-18

6Murang'a SEAL5+27

7Tusker3+36

8Migori Youth4+26

9APS Bomet5+26

10Shabana506

Match preview

Our model makes Murang'a SEAL slight favourites, giving them a 41% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.41 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.23 for Murang'a SEAL, 1.00 for Posta Rangers FC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Murang'a SEAL sit 6th on 7 points; Posta Rangers FC are 17th on 4.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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