Over 1.5 goals@1.32
Over 1.5
75%
ZAMSuper League · Matchday 3Wednesday, 14 October 2026
Mufulira Wanderers
8th · 0 pts14:00KICK-OFF WAT
Nkwazi
7th · 0 pts44% Mufulira
25% Draw
30% Nkwazi
OUR PICK
Mufulira Wanderers to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.26
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.21
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.26X3.9423.28
Goals 2.5Over1.96Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.83NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.96
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.83
GG
55%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
Mufulira WanderersNkwazi0.0Goals per game0.0
0.0Conceded per game0.0
0.00Points per game0.00
0%Win rate0%
0Goal difference0
0Form, last 5 (pts)0
Mufulira Wanderers form
LLDDA Green Buffaloes1–0
H Chirundu Utd0–1
A ZESCO United0–0
A Red Arrows0–0
Nkwazi form
DDDDH ZESCO United0–0
H Green Eagles0–0
A Green Buffaloes0–0
H Chirundu Utd0–0
Head to head
2
Mufulira
2
Draw
1
Nkwazi
Mar 2026Nkwazi – Mufulira Wanderers1–1
Oct 2025Mufulira Wanderers – Nkwazi1–1
Feb 2025Mufulira Wanderers – Nkwazi2–1
Oct 2024Nkwazi – Mufulira Wanderers2–1
May 2024Nkwazi – Mufulira Wanderers0–1
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Zanaco000
2Nchanga Rangers000
3Nkana000
4Power Dynamos000
5Konkola Blades000
6NAPSA Stars000
7Man Utd Zambia Academy000
8Kansanshi Dynamos000
9Trident000
10Makeni All Stars000
Match preview
Our model makes Mufulira Wanderers slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.26 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.51 for Mufulira Wanderers, 1.21 for Nkwazi), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Mufulira Wanderers sit 8th on 0 points; Nkwazi are 7th on 0.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.