Over 1.5 goals@1.08
Over 1.5
93%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 12Saturday, 31 October 2026 · MSV-Arena
MSV Duisburg
2nd · 26 pts3–3FULL TIME
Stuttgart II
13th · 15 pts69% MSV
16% Draw
15% Stuttgart
OUR PICK
MSV Duisburg to win
Model probability 69% · fair odds
1.45
Expected goals
2.95 – 1.38
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.45X6.4526.51
Goals 2.5Over1.24Under4.72
Both scoreGG1.41NG3.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.24
Over 2.5
80%
Both teams to score@1.41
GG
71%
Double chance@1.18
1X
85%
Season stats
MSV DuisburgStuttgart II2.6Goals per game1.8
1.4Conceded per game1.9
2.17Points per game1.25
67%Win rate33%
14Goal difference-2
8Form, last 5 (pts)8
MSV Duisburg form
No recent matches.
Stuttgart II form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
MSV
0
Draw
0
Stuttgart
These sides haven't met recently.
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen11+621
4SV Wehen12+618
5FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
6FC Saarbrücken11+617
7Alemannia Aachen11017
8Waldhof Mannheim11+316
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes MSV Duisburg clear favourites, giving them a 69% chance of winning against 16% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.45 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.3 goals in total (2.95 for MSV Duisburg, 1.38 for Stuttgart II), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
MSV Duisburg sit 2nd on 26 points; Stuttgart II are 13th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.