Over 1.5 goals@1.31
Over 1.5
76%
POLEkstraklasa · Matchday 14Friday, 6 November 2026 · Motor Lublin Arena
Motor Lublin
11th · 16 pts18:00KICK-OFF WAT
Wisla Plock
12th · 15 pts50% Motor
24% Draw
26% Wisla
OUR PICK
Motor Lublin to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.00
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.11
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.00X4.0923.90
Goals 2.5Over1.92Under1.97
Both scoreGG1.85NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.92
Over 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.85
GG
54%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
Motor LublinWisla Plock1.5Goals per game1.0
1.7Conceded per game1.5
1.23Points per game1.25
31%Win rate33%
-3Goal difference-6
11Form, last 5 (pts)7
Motor Lublin form
WDDWWA Cracovia Krakow1–2
H Raków Częstochowa1–1
H Zaglebie Lubin2–2
H Slask Wroclaw3–2
A Radomiak Radom2–3
Wisla Plock form
DWLWLH Piast Gliwice2–2
A Puszcza Niepołomice1–2
A Jagiellonia1–0
H Radomiak Radom1–0
A Wieczysta Kraków3–0
Head to head
2
Motor
2
Draw
1
Wisla
May 2026Wisla Plock – Motor Lublin0–4
Nov 2025Motor Lublin – Wisla Plock1–1
Jul 2025Motor Lublin – Wisla Plock2–2
Jan 2025Motor Lublin – Wisla Plock2–1
May 2024Wisla Plock – Motor Lublin1–0
Ekstraklasa table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin12+824
5Zaglebie Lubin13+122
6GKS Katowice13+621
7Piast Gliwice13+421
8Wisla Krakow13+221
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce13-518
Match preview
Our model makes Motor Lublin slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.00 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.65 for Motor Lublin, 1.11 for Wisla Plock), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Motor Lublin sit 11th on 16 points; Wisla Plock are 12th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.