Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
75%
SCOPremiership · Matchday 12Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Fir Park
Motherwell
9th · 12 pts1–0FULL TIME
ST Mirren
8th · 14 pts47% Motherwell
25% Draw
27% ST
OUR PICK
Motherwell to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.11
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.12
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.11X3.9723.66
Goals 2.5Over1.99Under1.89
Both scoreGG1.88NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.99
Over 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.88
GG
53%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
MotherwellST Mirren1.2Goals per game1.0
1.7Conceded per game1.7
1.00Points per game1.17
25%Win rate33%
-6Goal difference-8
4Form, last 5 (pts)4
Motherwell form
No recent matches.
ST Mirren form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Motherwell
0
Draw
0
ST
These sides haven't met recently.
Premiership table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Celtic11+1928
2Rangers11+1024
3Heart Of Midlothian11+720
4Dundee11+417
5Dundee Utd11016
6Falkirk11+115
7ST Johnstone12-414
8ST Mirren12-814
9Motherwell12-612
10Aberdeen11-211
Match preview
Our model makes Motherwell slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.11 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.56 for Motherwell, 1.12 for ST Mirren), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Motherwell sit 9th on 12 points; ST Mirren are 8th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.