NOR1. Division · Matchday 28Sunday, 25 October 2026

Moss

14th · 29 pts

1–3FULL TIME

Asane

15th · 26 pts

52% Moss

22% Draw

26% Asane

OUR PICK

Moss to win

Model probability 52% · fair odds

1.93

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.38

Confidence

Fair

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X211.93X4.6123.78

Goals 2.5Over1.52Under2.77

Both scoreGG1.55NG2.70

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.18

Over 1.5

85%

Over/Under 2.5@1.52

Over 2.5

66%

Both teams to score@1.55

65%

Double chance@1.28

78%

Season stats

MossAsane

1.5Goals per game1.4

2.1Conceded per game2.2

1.04Points per game0.93

29%Win rate25%

-18Goal difference-22

4Form, last 5 (pts)6

Moss form

LLDWL

H Asane1–3

A Lyn1–0

H Egersund0–0

A Raufoss1–2

H Kongsvinger0–2

Asane form

WWLLW

H hodd3–0

A Moss1–3

H Stabaek0–1

A Strommen6–1

H Sogndal2–1

Head to head

Moss

Draw

Asane

Oct 2026Moss – Asane1–3

Apr 2026Asane – Moss2–3

Aug 2025Moss – Asane1–2

Jun 2025Asane – Moss2–1

Oct 2024Moss – Asane1–1

1. Division table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Haugesund28+3462

2Stromsgodset28+4260

3Kongsvinger28+3759

4Stabaek28+3255

5ODD Ballklubb28+1145

6Bryne28-140

7Ranheim28+338

8hodd28-738

9Strommen28-1036

10Egersund28-1135

Match preview

Our model makes Moss slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.93 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 3.4 goals in total (2.00 for Moss, 1.38 for Asane), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Moss sit 14th on 29 points; Asane are 15th on 26.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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