Over 1.5 goals@1.39
Over 1.5
72%
SCOChampionship · Matchday 11Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Cappielow Park
Morton
9th · 10 pts2–0FULL TIME
Queen's Park
10th · 7 pts48% Morton
26% Draw
26% Queen's
OUR PICK
Morton to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.08
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.03
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.08X3.8623.85
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.86
Both scoreGG1.89NG2.00
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.86
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@2.00
NG
50%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
MortonQueen's Park1.0Goals per game0.6
1.7Conceded per game1.7
0.83Points per game0.54
25%Win rate15%
-8Goal difference-14
9Form, last 5 (pts)3
Morton form
WWWLA Partick2–3
H Queen's Park2–0
A Arbroath1–2
H Raith Rovers1–2
Queen's Park form
LLLWLA Ayr Utd3–2
H Dunfermline0–1
A Morton2–0
H Inverness CT2–1
A Raith Rovers2–0
Head to head
2
Morton
1
Draw
2
Queen's
Oct 2026Morton – Queen's Park2–0
Sept 2026Queen's Park – Morton2–1
Apr 2026Morton – Queen's Park0–0
Feb 2026Queen's Park – Morton3–2
Dec 2025Morton – Queen's Park2–1
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Partick13+1025
2Raith Rovers13+1124
3Dunfermline13+824
4Stenhousemuir13+123
5Livingston13+720
6Inverness CT13+119
7Ayr Utd12-115
8Arbroath13-1511
9Morton12-810
10Queen's Park13-147
Match preview
Our model makes Morton slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.08 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.50 for Morton, 1.03 for Queen's Park), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Morton sit 9th on 10 points; Queen's Park are 10th on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.