Over 1.5 goals@1.66
Over 1.5
60%
FRALigue 2 · Matchday 10Monday, 26 October 2026 · Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier
2nd · 24 pts2–1FULL TIME
RED Star FC 93
6th · 17 pts54% Montpellier
28% Draw
18% RED
OUR PICK
Montpellier to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.85
Expected goals
1.37 – 0.66
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.85X3.5725.56
Goals 2.5Over2.86Under1.50
Both scoreGG2.62NG1.56
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.50
Under 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.56
NG
64%
Double chance@1.22
1X
82%
Season stats
MontpellierRED Star FC 931.5Goals per game1.3
0.5Conceded per game1.2
2.18Points per game1.70
64%Win rate50%
10Goal difference1
13Form, last 5 (pts)9
Montpellier form
WWWWDA Annecy0–3
H RED Star FC 932–1
A Rodez0–3
H Grenoble2–0
A Reims1–1
RED Star FC 93 form
LLWWWA Montpellier2–1
H Saint Etienne0–1
A Clermont Foot2–3
A Guingamp1–3
H Metz1–0
Head to head
0
Montpellier
0
Draw
0
RED
These sides haven't met recently.
Ligue 2 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Saint Etienne11+1225
2Montpellier11+1024
3PAU11+520
4Nancy10+419
5Reims10+818
6RED Star FC 9310+117
7Annecy11-116
8Dijon11+115
9Guingamp11+114
10Metz11014
Match preview
Our model makes Montpellier clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.85 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (1.37 for Montpellier, 0.66 for RED Star FC 93), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Montpellier sit 2nd on 24 points; RED Star FC 93 are 6th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.