Over 1.5 goals@1.28
Over 1.5
78%
USAUSL Championship · Group StageSunday, 18 October 2026 · Cardinale Stadium
Monterey Bay
0–1FULL TIME
Colorado Springs
29% Monterey
24% Draw
47% Colorado
OUR PICK
Colorado Springs to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.12
Expected goals
1.23 – 1.65
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.50X4.1222.12
Goals 2.5Over1.82Under2.10
Both scoreGG1.75NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.82
Over 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.75
GG
57%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Monterey Bay form
WLLWLH Las Vegas Lights2–1
H Colorado Springs0–1
A New Mexico United3–1
A Orange County SC1–2
H Lexington2–3
Colorado Springs form
DWWDDA Lexington1–1
H FC Tulsa2–0
A Monterey Bay0–1
A Sacramento Republic1–1
H Oakland Roots0–0
Head to head
1
Monterey
0
Draw
4
Colorado
Oct 2026Monterey Bay – Colorado Springs0–1
Apr 2026Colorado Springs – Monterey Bay4–1
Sept 2025Colorado Springs – Monterey Bay2–1
Apr 2025Monterey Bay – Colorado Springs2–1
Oct 2024Monterey Bay – Colorado Springs0–1
USL Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30+2661
2Charleston Battery30+2153
3Detroit City30+1351
4Louisville City30+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds30+345
6Hartford Athletic30+243
7Rhode Island30+942
8Miami FC30-1036
9Indy Eleven30-634
10Loudoun United30-1031
Match preview
Our model makes Colorado Springs slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.12 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.23 for Monterey Bay, 1.65 for Colorado Springs), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.