Over 1.5 goals@1.56
Over 1.5
64%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 10Sunday, 11 October 2026 · ND Soft Stadium Yamagata
Montedio Yamagata
13th · 19 pts0–1FULL TIME
Vegalta Sendai
5th · 27 pts30% Montedio
29% Draw
40% Vegalta
OUR PICK
Vegalta Sendai to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.47
Expected goals
0.99 – 1.19
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.29X3.4422.47
Goals 2.5Over2.55Under1.59
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.78
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.59
Under 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.78
NG
56%
Double chance@1.41
12
71%
Season stats
Montedio YamagataVegalta Sendai0.9Goals per game1.5
0.9Conceded per game0.9
1.27Points per game1.80
40%Win rate53%
0Goal difference9
7Form, last 5 (pts)4
Montedio Yamagata form
WWLLDH Tokushima Vortis1–0
A Vanraure Hachinohe1–2
H Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–2
H Consadole Sapporo0–2
A Fujieda MYFC0–0
Vegalta Sendai form
LLLWDA Kataller Toyama1–0
H Omiya Ardija1–2
A Albirex Niigata2–1
H Imabari3–1
H Tokushima Vortis0–0
Head to head
0
Montedio
0
Draw
5
Vegalta
Oct 2026Montedio Yamagata – Vegalta Sendai0–1
Apr 2026Vegalta Sendai – Montedio Yamagata1–0
Mar 2026Montedio Yamagata – Vegalta Sendai0–1
Sept 2025Vegalta Sendai – Montedio Yamagata3–1
Jun 2025Montedio Yamagata – Vegalta Sendai3–4
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Albirex Niigata15-229
2Kataller Toyama15+1328
3Yokohama FC15+1128
4Omiya Ardija15+927
5Vegalta Sendai15+927
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki15+826
7Consadole Sapporo15+223
8Oita Trinita15+622
9Jubilo Iwata15+222
10Shonan Bellmare15+122
Match preview
Our model makes Vegalta Sendai slight favourites, giving them a 40% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.47 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (0.99 for Montedio Yamagata, 1.19 for Vegalta Sendai), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Montedio Yamagata sit 13th on 19 points; Vegalta Sendai are 5th on 27.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.