JPNJ2 League · Matchday 12Wednesday, 21 October 2026 · ND Soft Stadium Yamagata

Montedio Yamagata

16th · 16 pts
0–2FULL TIME

Consadole Sapporo

9th · 20 pts
48% Montedio
28% Draw
24% Consadole
OUR PICK
Montedio Yamagata to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.08
Expected goals
1.32 – 0.83
Confidence
Fair

Fair odds

From our model, no margin
1X212.08X3.5324.25
Goals 2.5Over2.62Under1.57
Both scoreGG2.30NG1.70

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.58
Over 1.5
63%
Over/Under 2.5@1.57
Under 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.70
NG
59%
Double chance@1.31
1X
76%

Season stats

Montedio YamagataConsadole Sapporo
0.9Goals per game1.2
1.0Conceded per game1.4
1.14Points per game1.43
36%Win rate43%
-1Goal difference-2
4Form, last 5 (pts)12

Montedio Yamagata form

WLLDL
A Vanraure Hachinohe1–2
H Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–2
H Consadole Sapporo0–2
A Fujieda MYFC0–0
H Vegalta Sendai0–1

Consadole Sapporo form

WWWWL
H Shonan Bellmare1–0
A Kataller Toyama0–1
A Montedio Yamagata0–2
H Blaublitz Akita1–0
A Jubilo Iwata1–0

Head to head

1
Montedio
0
Draw
4
Consadole
Oct 2026Montedio Yamagata – Consadole Sapporo0–2
Oct 2025Consadole Sapporo – Montedio Yamagata1–2
May 2025Montedio Yamagata – Consadole Sapporo0–1
Jul 2024Consadole Sapporo – Montedio Yamagata6–3
Aug 2016Consadole Sapporo – Montedio Yamagata3–1

J2 League table

#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519

Match preview

Our model makes Montedio Yamagata slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.08 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.32 for Montedio Yamagata, 0.83 for Consadole Sapporo), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Montedio Yamagata sit 16th on 16 points; Consadole Sapporo are 9th on 20.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.