KENFKF Premier League · Matchday 6Saturday, 7 November 2026

Mombasa Elite

18th · 1 pts

12:00KICK-OFF WAT

Shabana

10th · 6 pts

21% Mombasa

40% Draw

39% Shabana

OUR PICK

Draw

Model probability 40% · fair odds

2.52

Expected goals

0.49 – 0.79

Confidence

Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X214.78X2.5222.54

Goals 2.5Over6.74Under1.16

Both scoreGG4.49NG1.27

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@2.73

Over 1.5

37%

Over/Under 2.5@1.16

Under 2.5

86%

Both teams to score@1.27

79%

Double chance@1.26

79%

Season stats

Mombasa EliteShabana

0.4Goals per game0.4

1.6Conceded per game0.4

0.20Points per game1.20

0%Win rate20%

-6Goal difference0

1Form, last 5 (pts)6

Mombasa Elite form

LLDLL

A Migori Youth2–0

A KCB3–1

H Kenya Police0–0

A Mara Sugar2–1

H Homeboyz0–1

Shabana form

DDDWL

H Migori Youth1–1

A AFC Leopards0–0

H Nairobi United0–0

A Posta Rangers FC0–1

H KCB1–2

Head to head

Mombasa

Draw

Shabana

Apr 2023Shabana – Mombasa Elite3–1

Dec 2022Mombasa Elite – Shabana0–1

Jun 2022Mombasa Elite – Shabana0–2

Dec 2021Shabana – Mombasa Elite2–0

FKF Premier League table

#TeamGPGDPts

1GOR Mahia5+412

2KCB5+310

3AFC Leopards5+39

4Kenya Police5+18

53K5-18

6Murang'a SEAL5+27

7Tusker3+36

8Migori Youth4+26

9APS Bomet5+26

10Shabana506

Match preview

Our model makes Shabana slight favourites, giving them a 39% chance of winning against 40% for the draw.

Our fair price for "Draw" is 2.52 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 1.3 goals in total (0.49 for Mombasa Elite, 0.79 for Shabana), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Mombasa Elite sit 18th on 1 points; Shabana are 10th on 6.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

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