Over 1.5 goals@2.16
Over 1.5
46%
MARBotola Pro · Matchday 5Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Stade Saniat Rmel
Moghreb Tetouan
15th · 3 pts0–3FULL TIME
Widad Témara
5th · 9 pts26% Moghreb
36% Draw
38% Widad
OUR PICK
Widad Témara to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.63
Expected goals
0.68 – 0.88
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.78X2.8122.63
Goals 2.5Over4.49Under1.26
Both scoreGG3.25NG1.41
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.26
Under 2.5
79%
Both teams to score@1.41
NG
71%
Double chance@1.36
X2
74%
Season stats
Moghreb TetouanWidad Témara0.3Goals per game1.2
1.5Conceded per game0.7
0.50Points per game1.50
0%Win rate50%
-7Goal difference3
2Form, last 5 (pts)6
Moghreb Tetouan form
LLLDDA Wydad AC1–0
H Widad Témara0–3
A Difaa EL Jadida4–1
H FUS Rabat0–0
A Ittihad Tanger1–1
Widad Témara form
WWLLLH Maghreb Fès1–0
A Moghreb Tetouan0–3
H Kawkab Marrakech0–1
A FAR Rabat1–0
H UTS Rabat0–1
Head to head
1
Moghreb
1
Draw
1
Widad
Oct 2026Moghreb Tetouan – Widad Témara0–3
Mar 2026Moghreb Tetouan – Widad Témara1–1
Oct 2025Widad Témara – Moghreb Tetouan1–3
Botola Pro table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Kawkab Marrakech6+313
2CODM Meknès6+511
3Wydad AC6+211
4Ittihad Tanger6+110
5Widad Témara6+39
6FAR Rabat4+38
7Hassania Agadir6+28
8UTS Rabat608
9Difaa EL Jadida608
10Maghreb Fès608
Match preview
Our model makes Widad Témara slight favourites, giving them a 38% chance of winning against 36% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.63 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.6 goals in total (0.68 for Moghreb Tetouan, 0.88 for Widad Témara), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Moghreb Tetouan sit 15th on 3 points; Widad Témara are 5th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.