Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
74%
SRBSuper Liga · Matchday 11Monday, 12 October 2026 · Stadion Mladost
Mladost Lucani
8th · 18 pts0–0FULL TIME
OFK Beograd
11th · 11 pts47% Mladost
25% Draw
27% OFK
OUR PICK
Mladost Lucani to win
Model probability 47% · fair odds
2.11
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.11
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.11X3.9523.67
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under1.99
Both scoreGG1.89NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.99
Under 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.89
GG
53%
Double chance@1.34
12
75%
Season stats
Mladost LucaniOFK Beograd0.9Goals per game1.0
1.4Conceded per game1.8
1.29Points per game0.79
29%Win rate14%
-7Goal difference-11
5Form, last 5 (pts)2
Mladost Lucani form
LDDLDH Radnik Surdulica0–1
A Teleoptik1–1
H Vojvodina1–1
A FK Crvena Zvezda5–1
H OFK Beograd0–0
OFK Beograd form
LWLDDH Vojvodina0–2
A OFK Vršac0–1
H FK Crvena Zvezda0–1
A Macva1–1
A Mladost Lucani0–0
Head to head
0
Mladost
4
Draw
1
OFK
Oct 2026Mladost Lucani – OFK Beograd0–0
Feb 2026Mladost Lucani – OFK Beograd0–0
Aug 2025OFK Beograd – Mladost Lucani1–1
May 2025OFK Beograd – Mladost Lucani1–0
Nov 2024OFK Beograd – Mladost Lucani0–0
Super Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda14+3140
2Vojvodina14+1832
3Železničar Pančevo13+1026
4Radnicki 192314+523
5IMT Novi Beograd14+622
6Radnik Surdulica14+120
7Cukaricki14-119
8Mladost Lucani14-718
9FK Partizan14017
10Novi Pazar14-316
Match preview
Our model makes Mladost Lucani slight favourites, giving them a 47% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.11 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.55 for Mladost Lucani, 1.11 for OFK Beograd), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Mladost Lucani sit 8th on 18 points; OFK Beograd are 11th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.