Over 1.5 goals@1.19
Over 1.5
84%
CZECzech Liga · Matchday 11Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Mestsky stadion UMT
Mlada Boleslav
2nd · 24 pts1–0FULL TIME
Teplice
6th · 21 pts50% Mlada
22% Draw
28% Teplice
OUR PICK
Mlada Boleslav to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.01
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.38
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.01X4.4823.57
Goals 2.5Over1.57Under2.62
Both scoreGG1.57NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.57
Over 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.57
GG
64%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
Mlada BoleslavTeplice1.7Goals per game1.6
1.2Conceded per game1.4
1.85Points per game1.62
54%Win rate46%
7Goal difference3
7Form, last 5 (pts)8
Mlada Boleslav form
WWDWLH Hradec Králové3–1
H Bohemians 19053–2
A Slavia Praha1–1
H Teplice1–0
A Bohemians 19051–0
Teplice form
WLDLDA Slovácko1–3
A Slovan Liberec1–0
H Artis0–0
A Mlada Boleslav1–0
H Sigma Olomouc1–1
Head to head
3
Mlada
1
Draw
1
Teplice
Oct 2026Mlada Boleslav – Teplice1–0
May 2026Mlada Boleslav – Teplice0–2
Feb 2026Mlada Boleslav – Teplice0–0
Sept 2025Teplice – Mlada Boleslav2–3
May 2025Mlada Boleslav – Teplice1–0
Czech Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Slavia Praha13+2531
2Mlada Boleslav13+724
3Sigma Olomouc13+724
4Sparta Praha13+1223
5Slovan Liberec12+723
6Teplice13+321
7FK Jablonec13-220
8Zbrojovka Brno13-320
9Plzen13+719
10Bohemians 190512017
Match preview
Our model makes Mlada Boleslav slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.01 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.3 goals in total (1.90 for Mlada Boleslav, 1.38 for Teplice), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Mlada Boleslav sit 2nd on 24 points; Teplice are 6th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.