Over 1.5 goals@1.44
Over 1.5
70%
CZECzech Liga · Matchday 13Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Mestsky stadion UMT
Mlada Boleslav
2nd · 24 pts3–1FULL TIME
Hradec Králové
11th · 15 pts56% Mlada
25% Draw
19% Hradec
OUR PICK
Mlada Boleslav to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.79
Expected goals
1.60 – 0.82
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.79X4.0025.22
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.77
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.81
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.77
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.81
NG
55%
Double chance@1.24
1X
81%
Season stats
Mlada BoleslavHradec Králové1.7Goals per game0.9
1.2Conceded per game1.4
1.85Points per game1.15
54%Win rate31%
7Goal difference-6
7Form, last 5 (pts)1
Mlada Boleslav form
WWDWLH Hradec Králové3–1
H Bohemians 19053–2
A Slavia Praha1–1
H Teplice1–0
A Bohemians 19051–0
Hradec Králové form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Mlada
0
Draw
0
Hradec
These sides haven't met recently.
Czech Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Slavia Praha13+2531
2Mlada Boleslav13+724
3Sigma Olomouc13+724
4Slovan Liberec12+723
5Sparta Praha12+1222
6Teplice13+321
7FK Jablonec13-220
8Zbrojovka Brno13-320
9Plzen13+719
10Bohemians 190511016
Match preview
Our model makes Mlada Boleslav clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.79 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.60 for Mlada Boleslav, 0.82 for Hradec Králové), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Mlada Boleslav sit 2nd on 24 points; Hradec Králové are 11th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.