Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
87%
NOR2. Division - Group 1 · Matchday 22Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Consto Arena
Mjondalen
3rd · 53 pts4–0FULL TIME
Træff
7th · 38 pts58% Mjondalen
20% Draw
22% Træff
OUR PICK
Mjondalen to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.72
Expected goals
2.26 – 1.34
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.72X5.0324.54
Goals 2.5Over1.44Under3.14
Both scoreGG1.51NG2.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.44
Over 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.51
GG
66%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
MjondalenTræff1.9Goals per game1.7
1.3Conceded per game2.0
2.04Points per game1.46
65%Win rate38%
16Goal difference-6
12Form, last 5 (pts)8
Mjondalen form
WLWWWA Arendal1–2
H Brattvåg1–4
A Sandviken1–3
H Pors Grenland1–0
H Træff4–0
Træff form
WDDWLA Brattvåg4–5
H Arendal0–0
A Lysekloster3–3
H Sandviken1–0
A Mjondalen4–0
Head to head
1
Mjondalen
1
Draw
0
Træff
Oct 2026Mjondalen – Træff4–0
May 2026Træff – Mjondalen2–2
2. Division - Group 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1jerv26+3059
2Bjarg26+2954
3Mjondalen26+1653
4Brattvåg26+2051
5Sotra26+3048
6Notodden26+838
7Træff26-638
8Kvik Halden26+137
9Arendal26-631
10Pors Grenland26-530
Match preview
Our model makes Mjondalen clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.72 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (2.26 for Mjondalen, 1.34 for Træff), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Mjondalen sit 3rd on 53 points; Træff are 7th on 38.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.