Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
80%
NOR2. Division - Group 1 · Matchday 23Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Consto Arena
Mjondalen
3rd · 53 pts1–0FULL TIME
Pors Grenland
10th · 30 pts59% Mjondalen
22% Draw
20% Pors
OUR PICK
Mjondalen to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.71
Expected goals
1.94 – 1.03
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.71X4.5825.09
Goals 2.5Over1.76Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.82NG2.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.82
GG
55%
Double chance@1.24
1X
80%
Season stats
MjondalenPors Grenland1.9Goals per game1.3
1.3Conceded per game1.5
2.04Points per game1.15
65%Win rate31%
16Goal difference-5
12Form, last 5 (pts)7
Mjondalen form
WLWWWA Arendal1–2
H Brattvåg1–4
A Sandviken1–3
H Pors Grenland1–0
H Træff4–0
Pors Grenland form
LWDWLA Kvik Halden3–1
H Kongsvinger3–1
H Sandviken0–0
A Notodden3–4
A Mjondalen1–0
Head to head
2
Mjondalen
0
Draw
2
Pors
Oct 2026Mjondalen – Pors Grenland1–0
May 2026Pors Grenland – Mjondalen1–0
Feb 2026Pors Grenland – Mjondalen1–0
May 2019Pors Grenland – Mjondalen2–4
2. Division - Group 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1jerv26+3059
2Bjarg26+2954
3Mjondalen26+1653
4Brattvåg26+2051
5Sotra26+3048
6Notodden26+838
7Træff26-638
8Kvik Halden26+137
9Arendal26-631
10Pors Grenland26-530
Match preview
Our model makes Mjondalen clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.71 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.94 for Mjondalen, 1.03 for Pors Grenland), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Mjondalen sit 3rd on 53 points; Pors Grenland are 10th on 30.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.