Over 1.5 goals@1.43
Over 1.5
70%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 27Monday, 2 November 2026 · Strandvallen
Mjallby AIF
12th · 26 pts19:00KICK-OFF WAT
Kalmar FF
13th · 22 pts49% Mjallby
26% Draw
25% Kalmar
OUR PICK
Mjallby AIF to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.04
Expected goals
1.47 – 0.96
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.04X3.7924.06
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.78
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.91
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.78
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.91
NG
52%
Double chance@1.33
1X
75%
Season stats
Mjallby AIFKalmar FF1.2Goals per game0.9
1.7Conceded per game1.6
1.00Points per game0.85
23%Win rate23%
-13Goal difference-19
4Form, last 5 (pts)3
Mjallby AIF form
WLDLWA Orgryte IS1–2
H Hammarby FF0–2
A FC Iberia 19991–1
A Vasteras SK FK1–0
H Inter Club d'Escaldes2–0
Kalmar FF form
LLWLDH Gais0–1
H IF Brommapojkarna0–3
A Degerfors IF1–2
A Malmo FF1–0
A IFK Norrkoping0–0
Head to head
4
Mjallby
0
Draw
1
Kalmar
Jul 2026Kalmar FF – Mjallby AIF2–1
Feb 2026Mjallby AIF – Kalmar FF2–0
Jan 2026Mjallby AIF – Kalmar FF4–0
Oct 2024Kalmar FF – Mjallby AIF0–3
Apr 2024Mjallby AIF – Kalmar FF3–2
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Sirius26+2255
2Hammarby FF26+3352
3Djurgardens IF26+2949
4BK Hacken26+1746
5IF Elfsborg26+1343
6Vasteras SK FK26+141
7Malmo FF26+740
8AIK Stockholm26-338
9IFK Goteborg26-938
10Gais26+634
Match preview
Our model makes Mjallby AIF slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.04 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.47 for Mjallby AIF, 0.96 for Kalmar FF), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Mjallby AIF sit 12th on 26 points; Kalmar FF are 13th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.