Over 1.5 goals@1.28
Over 1.5
78%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 25Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Strandvallen
Mjallby AIF
12th · 26 pts0–2FULL TIME
Hammarby FF
2nd · 52 pts16% Mjallby
21% Draw
63% Hammarby
OUR PICK
Hammarby FF to win
Model probability 63% · fair odds
1.59
Expected goals
0.88 – 1.98
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X216.26X4.7621.59
Goals 2.5Over1.84Under2.05
Both scoreGG1.98NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.84
Over 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.98
GG
50%
Double chance@1.19
X2
84%
Season stats
Mjallby AIFHammarby FF1.2Goals per game2.1
1.7Conceded per game0.8
1.00Points per game2.00
23%Win rate62%
-13Goal difference33
4Form, last 5 (pts)12
Mjallby AIF form
WLDLWA Orgryte IS1–2
H Hammarby FF0–2
A FC Iberia 19991–1
A Vasteras SK FK1–0
H Inter Club d'Escaldes2–0
Hammarby FF form
WWWWLA Malmo FF1–2
H Sirius2–0
A Mjallby AIF0–2
A Halmstad0–1
H Djurgardens IF0–1
Head to head
3
Mjallby
0
Draw
2
Hammarby
Oct 2026Mjallby AIF – Hammarby FF0–2
May 2026Mjallby AIF – Hammarby FF2–1
Apr 2026Hammarby FF – Mjallby AIF3–0
May 2025Hammarby FF – Mjallby AIF1–2
Apr 2025Mjallby AIF – Hammarby FF3–1
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Sirius26+2255
2Hammarby FF26+3352
3Djurgardens IF26+2949
4BK Hacken26+1746
5IF Elfsborg26+1343
6Vasteras SK FK26+141
7Malmo FF26+740
8AIK Stockholm26-338
9IFK Goteborg26-938
10Gais26+634
Match preview
Our model makes Hammarby FF clear favourites, giving them a 63% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.59 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (0.88 for Mjallby AIF, 1.98 for Hammarby FF), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Mjallby AIF sit 12th on 26 points; Hammarby FF are 2nd on 52.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.