Over 1.5 goals@1.15
Over 1.5
87%
JPNJ1 League · Matchday 10Saturday, 17 October 2026 · K's Denki Stadium Mito
Mito Hollyhock
19th · 9 pts0–1FULL TIME
Urawa
9th · 21 pts37% Mito
22% Draw
41% Urawa
OUR PICK
Urawa to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.47
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.81
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.68X4.5222.47
Goals 2.5Over1.46Under3.04
Both scoreGG1.45NG3.04
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.46
Over 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.45
GG
69%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
Mito HollyhockUrawa0.9Goals per game1.6
1.9Conceded per game2.1
0.69Points per game1.62
15%Win rate54%
-13Goal difference-6
0Form, last 5 (pts)9
Mito Hollyhock form
LLLLLH Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–3
H Cerezo Osaka1–3
A FC Tokyo6–0
A Fagiano Okayama2–0
H Urawa0–1
Urawa form
LWWWWA Kashiwa Reysol4–0
A Nagoya Grampus1–2
H V-varen Nagasaki1–0
H JEF United Chiba3–2
A Mito Hollyhock0–1
Head to head
0
Mito
0
Draw
4
Urawa
Oct 2026Mito Hollyhock – Urawa0–1
May 2026Mito Hollyhock – Urawa1–4
Mar 2026Urawa – Mito Hollyhock2–0
Aug 2019Urawa – Mito Hollyhock2–1
J1 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Tokyo13+2330
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima13+2229
3Machida Zelvia13+2028
4Kashiwa Reysol13+1028
5Vissel Kobe13+926
6Kashima13+723
7Kawasaki Frontale13+522
8Yokohama F. Marinos13+621
9Urawa13-621
10Fagiano Okayama13-616
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Mito Hollyhock 37%, the draw 22%, Urawa 41%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.47 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.73 for Mito Hollyhock, 1.81 for Urawa), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Mito Hollyhock sit 19th on 9 points; Urawa are 9th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.