Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
JPNJ1 League · Matchday 13Saturday, 31 October 2026 · K's Denki Stadium Mito
Mito Hollyhock
19th · 9 pts0–3FULL TIME
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2nd · 29 pts12% Mito
18% Draw
70% Sanfrecce
OUR PICK
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win
Model probability 70% · fair odds
1.43
Expected goals
0.84 – 2.28
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X218.13X5.5721.43
Goals 2.5Over1.66Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.96NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.96
GG
51%
Double chance@1.14
X2
88%
Season stats
Mito HollyhockSanfrecce Hiroshima0.9Goals per game2.5
1.9Conceded per game0.8
0.69Points per game2.23
15%Win rate69%
-13Goal difference22
0Form, last 5 (pts)12
Mito Hollyhock form
No recent matches.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Mito
0
Draw
0
Sanfrecce
These sides haven't met recently.
J1 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Tokyo13+2330
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima13+2229
3Machida Zelvia13+2028
4Kashiwa Reysol13+1028
5Vissel Kobe13+926
6Kashima13+723
7Kawasaki Frontale13+522
8Yokohama F. Marinos13+621
9Urawa13-621
10Fagiano Okayama13-616
Match preview
Our model makes Sanfrecce Hiroshima clear favourites, giving them a 70% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.43 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (0.84 for Mito Hollyhock, 2.28 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Mito Hollyhock sit 19th on 9 points; Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 2nd on 29.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.