Over 1.5 goals@1.47
Over 1.5
68%
BRASerie A · Matchday 31Friday, 16 October 2026 · José Maria de Campos Maia
Mirassol
16th · 37 pts2–0FULL TIME
Internacional
18th · 35 pts37% Mirassol
28% Draw
35% Internacional
OUR PICK
Mirassol to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.71
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.15
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.71X3.5622.86
Goals 2.5Over2.30Under1.71
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.91
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.71
Under 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.91
NG
52%
Double chance@1.39
12
72%
Season stats
MirassolInternacional1.1Goals per game1.1
1.4Conceded per game1.3
1.12Points per game1.06
27%Win rate24%
-10Goal difference-5
5Form, last 5 (pts)7
Mirassol form
LDWLDA Corinthians2–0
H Sao Paulo1–1
H Internacional2–0
A Bahia1–0
A RB Bragantino1–1
Internacional form
LWLDWA Fluminense2–1
H Botafogo3–0
A Mirassol2–0
A Gremio1–1
H Corinthians2–1
Head to head
3
Mirassol
1
Draw
0
Internacional
Oct 2026Mirassol – Internacional2–0
Apr 2026Internacional – Mirassol1–2
Oct 2025Mirassol – Internacional3–1
May 2025Internacional – Mirassol1–1
Serie A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Flamengo33+4073
2Palmeiras33+3470
3Cruzeiro33+657
4Fluminense33+1054
5Atletico Paranaense33+1054
6Bahia33+653
7Atletico-MG33+550
8RB Bragantino34+547
9Santos34+147
10Sao Paulo33043
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Mirassol 37%, the draw 28%, Internacional 35%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.71 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.19 for Mirassol, 1.15 for Internacional), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Mirassol sit 16th on 37 points; Internacional are 18th on 35.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.