Over 1.5 goals@1.20
Over 1.5
83%
USAMajor League Soccer · Matchday 34Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Allianz Field
Minnesota United FC
12th · 41 pts01:00KICK-OFF WAT
San Jose Earthquakes
3rd · 52 pts39% Minnesota
23% Draw
37% San
OUR PICK
Minnesota United FC to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.55
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.59
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.55X4.2822.67
Goals 2.5Over1.60Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.56NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.60
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.56
GG
64%
Double chance@1.30
12
77%
Season stats
Minnesota United FCSan Jose Earthquakes1.6Goals per game1.7
1.7Conceded per game1.5
1.24Points per game1.58
30%Win rate42%
-4Goal difference8
11Form, last 5 (pts)6
Minnesota United FC form
WWDWDA Los Angeles FC1–3
H Sporting Kansas City3–1
A Houston Dynamo0–0
H St. Louis City3–2
A Colorado Rapids2–2
San Jose Earthquakes form
WDLDDH Real Salt Lake2–1
H Colorado Rapids2–2
A FC Dallas3–0
H Nashville SC1–1
A Real Salt Lake1–1
Head to head
4
Minnesota
0
Draw
1
San
Aug 2026San Jose Earthquakes – Minnesota United FC1–5
Apr 2026San Jose Earthquakes – Minnesota United FC4–2
Jul 2025Minnesota United FC – San Jose Earthquakes4–1
Mar 2025San Jose Earthquakes – Minnesota United FC0–1
Sept 2024San Jose Earthquakes – Minnesota United FC1–2
Major League Soccer table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps33+3861
2FC Dallas33+955
3San Jose Earthquakes33+852
4St. Louis City33+1051
5Houston Dynamo33+151
6Los Angeles FC33+1347
7Los Angeles Galaxy33-644
8Portland Timbers33-143
9Colorado Rapids33-143
10Seattle Sounders33-343
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Minnesota United FC 39%, the draw 23%, San Jose Earthquakes 37%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.55 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.63 for Minnesota United FC, 1.59 for San Jose Earthquakes), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Minnesota United FC sit 12th on 41 points; San Jose Earthquakes are 3rd on 52.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.