Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 14Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Stadium MK
Milton Keynes Dons
11th · 18 pts6–1FULL TIME
Doncaster
19th · 12 pts60% Milton
21% Draw
19% Doncaster
OUR PICK
Milton Keynes Dons to win
Model probability 60% · fair odds
1.66
Expected goals
2.10 – 1.10
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.66X4.8625.22
Goals 2.5Over1.61Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.71NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.61
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.71
GG
59%
Double chance@1.24
1X
81%
Season stats
Milton Keynes DonsDoncaster1.7Goals per game1.1
1.5Conceded per game1.7
1.38Points per game0.92
31%Win rate23%
2Goal difference-8
12Form, last 5 (pts)3
Milton Keynes Dons form
No recent matches.
Doncaster form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Milton
0
Draw
0
Doncaster
These sides haven't met recently.
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday12+819
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model makes Milton Keynes Dons clear favourites, giving them a 60% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.66 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (2.10 for Milton Keynes Dons, 1.10 for Doncaster), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Milton Keynes Dons sit 11th on 18 points; Doncaster are 19th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.