Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 8Tuesday, 27 October 2026 · Stadium MK
Milton Keynes Dons
11th · 18 pts4–1FULL TIME
Bromley
24th · 9 pts69% Milton
17% Draw
14% Bromley
OUR PICK
Milton Keynes Dons to win
Model probability 69% · fair odds
1.45
Expected goals
2.54 – 1.08
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.45X5.8927.05
Goals 2.5Over1.43Under3.14
Both scoreGG1.64NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.43
Over 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.64
GG
61%
Double chance@1.17
1X
86%
Season stats
Milton Keynes DonsBromley1.7Goals per game1.0
1.5Conceded per game2.5
1.38Points per game0.69
31%Win rate15%
2Goal difference-20
12Form, last 5 (pts)1
Milton Keynes Dons form
WWWLWH Doncaster6–1
H Bromley4–1
A Stevenage0–1
A Blackpool2–0
H Luton2–1
Bromley form
LLDLLA Wigan3–2
A Milton Keynes Dons4–1
H Peterborough1–1
H Leicester0–4
A Stockport County1–0
Head to head
2
Milton
1
Draw
2
Bromley
Oct 2026Milton Keynes Dons – Bromley4–1
Apr 2026Milton Keynes Dons – Bromley2–1
Oct 2025Bromley – Milton Keynes Dons2–1
Feb 2025Milton Keynes Dons – Bromley0–1
Sept 2024Bromley – Milton Keynes Dons1–1
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model makes Milton Keynes Dons clear favourites, giving them a 69% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.45 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (2.54 for Milton Keynes Dons, 1.08 for Bromley), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Milton Keynes Dons sit 11th on 18 points; Bromley are 24th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.