Over 1.5 goals@1.47
Over 1.5
68%
COLPrimera A · Clausura - 17Thursday, 5 November 2026
Millonarios
10th · 26 pts02:30KICK-OFF WAT
America de Cali
4th · 33 pts38% Millonarios
28% Draw
34% America
OUR PICK
Millonarios to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.64
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.13
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.64X3.5622.94
Goals 2.5Over2.30Under1.71
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.91
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.71
Under 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.91
NG
52%
Double chance@1.39
12
72%
Season stats
MillonariosAmerica de Cali1.6Goals per game1.3
1.2Conceded per game0.8
1.37Points per game1.74
37%Win rate53%
8Goal difference10
7Form, last 5 (pts)10
Millonarios form
DWDDDH Once Caldas1–1
H Jaguares4–1
A Fortaleza FC1–1
A Barranquilla1–1
A Independiente Medellin2–2
America de Cali form
WWWDLH Fortaleza FC2–1
H Cucuta3–1
A Barranquilla0–4
A Bucaramanga1–1
H Independiente Medellin1–2
Head to head
1
Millonarios
2
Draw
2
America
Apr 2026America de Cali – Millonarios3–1
Oct 2025Millonarios – America de Cali2–1
Apr 2025America de Cali – Millonarios0–0
Jan 2025Millonarios – America de Cali1–1
Oct 2024America de Cali – Millonarios2–1
Primera A table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19+2040
2Junior19+735
3Deportivo Pasto19+434
4America de Cali19+1033
5Once Caldas19+933
6Deportes Tolima19+1031
7Santa Fe19+729
8Internacional de Bogota19028
9Deportivo Cali19+427
10Millonarios19+826
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Millonarios 38%, the draw 28%, America de Cali 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.64 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.21 for Millonarios, 1.13 for America de Cali), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Millonarios sit 10th on 26 points; America de Cali are 4th on 33.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.