Over 1.5 goals@1.68
Over 1.5
59%
ARGPrimera Nacional · Matchday 35Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium
Midland
3–0FULL TIME
Gimnasia Y Tiro
45% Midland
30% Draw
25% Gimnasia
OUR PICK
Midland to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.23
Expected goals
1.19 – 0.81
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.23X3.3223.99
Goals 2.5Over2.95Under1.48
Both scoreGG2.42NG1.63
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.48
Under 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.63
NG
61%
Double chance@1.33
1X
75%
Midland form
DWLWDA Atlanta0–0
H Gimnasia Y Tiro3–0
A San Martin Tucuman3–2
H Atletico DE Rafaela4–0
A Agropecuario0–0
Gimnasia Y Tiro form
LLWDLH Quilmes0–1
A Midland3–0
H Atlanta3–1
A Gimnasia Jujuy2–2
A San Martin Tucuman1–0
Head to head
1
Midland
0
Draw
1
Gimnasia
Oct 2026Midland – Gimnasia Y Tiro3–0
Jun 2026Gimnasia Y Tiro – Midland1–0
Primera Nacional table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Godoy Cruz36+2066
2Ferro Carril Oeste36+766
3Deportivo Moron36+1661
4Deportivo Madryn36+2160
5Colon Santa Fe36+1860
6Almirante Brown36+451
7Ciudad de Bolívar36-351
8CA Estudiantes36049
9Chaco For Ever36+246
10Los Andes36+143
Match preview
Our model makes Midland slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 30% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.23 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (1.19 for Midland, 0.81 for Gimnasia Y Tiro), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.