Over 1.5 goals@1.21
Over 1.5
83%
USAUSL Championship · Group StageSaturday, 17 October 2026 · Riccardo Silva Stadium
Miami FC
8th · 36 pts1–2FULL TIME
Charleston Battery
2nd · 53 pts26% Miami
23% Draw
51% Charleston
OUR PICK
Charleston Battery to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.96
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.88
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.77X4.4421.96
Goals 2.5Over1.62Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.62NG2.48
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.62
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.62
GG
62%
Double chance@1.29
12
77%
Season stats
Miami FCCharleston Battery1.3Goals per game1.9
1.6Conceded per game1.2
1.20Points per game1.77
30%Win rate53%
-10Goal difference21
9Form, last 5 (pts)10
Miami FC form
DLLWWA Tampa Bay Rowdies1–1
H Charleston Battery1–2
H Loudoun United0–2
A Tampa Bay Rowdies1–2
H Sporting JAX4–1
Charleston Battery form
DWWDLH Rhode Island1–1
H Indy Eleven1–0
A Miami FC1–2
A Hartford Athletic1–1
H Louisville City0–2
Head to head
1
Miami
0
Draw
4
Charleston
Oct 2026Miami FC – Charleston Battery1–2
Aug 2026Charleston Battery – Miami FC5–0
Jul 2025Charleston Battery – Miami FC3–0
Jun 2025Miami FC – Charleston Battery1–0
Jul 2024Charleston Battery – Miami FC2–0
USL Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies30+2661
2Charleston Battery30+2153
3Detroit City30+1351
4Louisville City30+847
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds30+345
6Hartford Athletic30+243
7Rhode Island30+942
8Miami FC30-1036
9Indy Eleven30-634
10Loudoun United30-1031
Match preview
Our model makes Charleston Battery slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.96 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.30 for Miami FC, 1.88 for Charleston Battery), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Miami FC sit 8th on 36 points; Charleston Battery are 2nd on 53.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.