Over 1.5 goals@2.84
Over 1.5
35%
ALGLigue 1 · Matchday 6Saturday, 17 October 2026
MC Oran
3rd · 15 pts1–0FULL TIME
Khenchela
13th · 5 pts54% MC
37% Draw
10% Khenchela
OUR PICK
MC Oran to win
Model probability 54% · fair odds
1.87
Expected goals
0.98 – 0.26
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.87X2.72210.33
Goals 2.5Over7.26Under1.15
Both scoreGG6.74NG1.17
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.15
Under 2.5
87%
Both teams to score@1.17
NG
86%
Double chance@1.11
1X
90%
Season stats
MC OranKhenchela0.7Goals per game0.4
0.0Conceded per game1.1
2.14Points per game0.71
57%Win rate14%
5Goal difference-5
9Form, last 5 (pts)3
MC Oran form
DDWH Olympique Akbou0–0
A JS El Biar0–0
H Khenchela1–0
Khenchela form
LLLWA MC Alger2–0
H JS Kabylie0–3
A MC Oran1–0
H CS Constantine2–0
Head to head
2
MC
1
Draw
2
Khenchela
Oct 2026MC Oran – Khenchela1–0
Mar 2026MC Oran – Khenchela2–1
Oct 2025Khenchela – MC Oran2–0
May 2025Khenchela – MC Oran2–1
Nov 2024MC Oran – Khenchela0–0
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1CR Belouizdad7+517
2JS Kabylie7+816
3MC Oran7+515
4USM Alger7+514
5MB Rouisset8+314
6MC Alger5+613
7Olympique Akbou7+311
8Témouchent8-39
9ES Setif7+28
10JS El Biar808
Match preview
Our model makes MC Oran clear favourites, giving them a 54% chance of winning against 37% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.87 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.2 goals in total (0.98 for MC Oran, 0.26 for Khenchela), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
MC Oran sit 3rd on 15 points; Khenchela are 13th on 5.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.