Over 1.5 goals@2.15
Over 1.5
47%
ALGLigue 1 · Matchday 4Thursday, 8 October 2026
MC Oran
3rd · 15 pts0–0FULL TIME
ES Setif
9th · 8 pts51% MC
33% Draw
16% ES
OUR PICK
MC Oran to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.95
Expected goals
1.10 – 0.47
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.95X3.0326.36
Goals 2.5Over4.49Under1.26
Both scoreGG3.77NG1.33
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.26
Under 2.5
79%
Both teams to score@1.33
NG
75%
Double chance@1.19
1X
84%
Season stats
MC OranES Setif0.7Goals per game1.3
0.0Conceded per game1.0
2.14Points per game1.14
57%Win rate29%
5Goal difference2
9Form, last 5 (pts)8
MC Oran form
DDWH Olympique Akbou0–0
A JS El Biar0–0
H Khenchela1–0
ES Setif form
WLDA ASO Chlef1–2
H Témouchent1–2
H JS Kabylie1–1
Head to head
1
MC
2
Draw
2
ES
Oct 2026MC Oran – ES Setif0–0
Apr 2026ES Setif – MC Oran3–0
Nov 2025MC Oran – ES Setif0–0
Apr 2025ES Setif – MC Oran1–0
Nov 2024MC Oran – ES Setif1–0
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1CR Belouizdad7+517
2JS Kabylie7+816
3MC Oran7+515
4USM Alger7+514
5MB Rouisset8+314
6MC Alger5+613
7Olympique Akbou7+311
8Témouchent8-39
9ES Setif7+28
10JS El Biar808
Match preview
Our model makes MC Oran clear favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 33% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.95 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.6 goals in total (1.10 for MC Oran, 0.47 for ES Setif), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
MC Oran sit 3rd on 15 points; ES Setif are 9th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.