Over 1.5 goals@1.67
Over 1.5
60%
ALGLigue 1 · Matchday 4Friday, 9 October 2026
MC Alger
6th · 13 pts1–0FULL TIME
Témouchent
8th · 9 pts62% MC
26% Draw
12% Témouchent
OUR PICK
MC Alger to win
Model probability 62% · fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
1.51 – 0.51
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.61X3.9028.10
Goals 2.5Over2.86Under1.49
Both scoreGG3.04NG1.45
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.49
Under 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.45
NG
69%
Double chance@1.14
1X
88%
Season stats
MC AlgerTémouchent1.4Goals per game0.8
0.2Conceded per game1.1
2.60Points per game1.13
80%Win rate25%
6Goal difference-3
13Form, last 5 (pts)5
MC Alger form
WWWLH Khenchela2–0
A US Biskra0–1
H Enugu Rangers3–0
A Enugu Rangers2–0
Témouchent form
DWDLH US Biskra1–1
A ES Setif1–2
H ASO Chlef1–1
H MB Rouisset0–2
Head to head
1
MC
0
Draw
0
Témouchent
Oct 2026MC Alger – Témouchent1–0
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1CR Belouizdad7+517
2JS Kabylie7+816
3MC Oran7+515
4USM Alger7+514
5MB Rouisset8+314
6MC Alger5+613
7Olympique Akbou7+311
8Témouchent8-39
9ES Setif7+28
10JS El Biar808
Match preview
Our model makes MC Alger clear favourites, giving them a 62% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.61 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (1.51 for MC Alger, 0.51 for Témouchent), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
MC Alger sit 6th on 13 points; Témouchent are 8th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.