Over 1.5 goals@4.26
Over 1.5
23%
ALGLigue 1 · Matchday 1Wednesday, 4 November 2026 · Ali La Pointe Stadium
MC Alger
6th · 13 pts17:00KICK-OFF WAT
MC Oran
3rd · 15 pts29% MC
49% Draw
22% MC
OUR PICK
Draw
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.06
Expected goals
0.51 – 0.41
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.43X2.0624.50
Goals 2.5Over13.48Under1.07
Both scoreGG7.26NG1.16
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.07
Under 2.5
93%
Both teams to score@1.16
NG
87%
Double chance@1.29
1X
78%
Season stats
MC AlgerMC Oran1.4Goals per game0.7
0.2Conceded per game0.0
2.60Points per game2.14
80%Win rate57%
6Goal difference5
13Form, last 5 (pts)9
MC Alger form
WWWLH Khenchela2–0
A US Biskra0–1
H Enugu Rangers3–0
A Enugu Rangers2–0
MC Oran form
DDWH Olympique Akbou0–0
A JS El Biar0–0
H Khenchela1–0
Head to head
4
MC
0
Draw
1
MC
Feb 2026MC Oran – MC Alger2–1
Sept 2025MC Alger – MC Oran3–2
Mar 2025MC Oran – MC Alger0–2
Oct 2024MC Alger – MC Oran1–0
Jun 2024MC Alger – MC Oran3–2
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1CR Belouizdad7+517
2JS Kabylie7+816
3MC Oran7+515
4USM Alger7+514
5MB Rouisset8+314
6MC Alger5+613
7Olympique Akbou7+311
8Témouchent8-39
9ES Setif7+28
10JS El Biar808
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: MC Alger 29%, the draw 49%, MC Oran 22%.
Our fair price for "Draw" is 2.06 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 0.9 goals in total (0.51 for MC Alger, 0.41 for MC Oran), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
MC Alger sit 6th on 13 points; MC Oran are 3rd on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.