Over 1.5 goals@1.87
Over 1.5
53%
ALGLigue 1 · Matchday 8Saturday, 31 October 2026
MC Alger
6th · 13 pts2–0FULL TIME
Khenchela
13th · 5 pts67% MC
26% Draw
8% Khenchela
OUR PICK
MC Alger to win
Model probability 67% · fair odds
1.50
Expected goals
1.47 – 0.32
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.50X3.92212.80
Goals 2.5Over3.49Under1.36
Both scoreGG4.49NG1.27
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.36
Under 2.5
73%
Both teams to score@1.27
NG
79%
Double chance@1.08
1X
92%
Season stats
MC AlgerKhenchela1.4Goals per game0.4
0.2Conceded per game1.1
2.60Points per game0.71
80%Win rate14%
6Goal difference-5
13Form, last 5 (pts)3
MC Alger form
No recent matches.
Khenchela form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
MC
0
Draw
0
Khenchela
These sides haven't met recently.
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1JS Kabylie7+816
2MC Oran7+515
3USM Alger7+514
4CR Belouizdad6+414
5MB Rouisset8+314
6MC Alger5+613
7Olympique Akbou7+311
8ES Setif7+28
9JS El Biar808
10Ben Aknoun708
Match preview
Our model makes MC Alger clear favourites, giving them a 67% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.50 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (1.47 for MC Alger, 0.32 for Khenchela), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
MC Alger sit 6th on 13 points; Khenchela are 13th on 5.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.