Over 1.5 goals@1.77
Over 1.5
57%
ALGLigue 1 · Matchday 4Thursday, 8 October 2026
MB Rouisset
5th · 14 pts1–0FULL TIME
USM Alger
4th · 14 pts31% MB
32% Draw
37% USM
OUR PICK
USM Alger to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.68
Expected goals
0.89 – 1.01
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.23X3.1522.68
Goals 2.5Over3.14Under1.42
Both scoreGG2.55NG1.60
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Under 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.60
NG
63%
Double chance@1.45
X2
69%
Season stats
MB RouissetUSM Alger1.0Goals per game1.4
0.6Conceded per game0.7
1.75Points per game2.00
50%Win rate57%
3Goal difference5
11Form, last 5 (pts)10
MB Rouisset form
DDWWH Ben Aknoun1–1
A ASO Chlef1–1
H JS Saoura1–0
A Témouchent0–2
USM Alger form
WDDA CS Constantine0–2
H Panthers0–0
H CR Belouizdad2–2
Head to head
2
MB
0
Draw
2
USM
Oct 2026MB Rouisset – USM Alger1–0
May 2026MB Rouisset – USM Alger1–0
Dec 2025USM Alger – MB Rouisset2–0
Mar 2024USM Alger – MB Rouisset8–0
Ligue 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1CR Belouizdad7+517
2JS Kabylie7+816
3MC Oran7+515
4USM Alger7+514
5MB Rouisset8+314
6MC Alger5+613
7Olympique Akbou7+311
8Témouchent8-39
9ES Setif7+28
10JS El Biar808
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: MB Rouisset 31%, the draw 32%, USM Alger 37%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.68 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (0.89 for MB Rouisset, 1.01 for USM Alger), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
MB Rouisset sit 5th on 14 points; USM Alger are 4th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.