Over 1.5 goals@1.41
Over 1.5
71%
SOUPremier Soccer League · Matchday 9Friday, 30 October 2026 · Royal Bafokeng Stadium
Marumo Gallants
15th · 5 pts3–2FULL TIME
Siwelele
14th · 6 pts37% Marumo
27% Draw
35% Siwelele
OUR PICK
Marumo Gallants to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.67
Expected goals
1.26 – 1.22
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.67X3.6922.82
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.82
Both scoreGG1.98NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.82
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.98
GG
50%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
Marumo GallantsSiwelele1.0Goals per game1.0
1.9Conceded per game1.8
0.56Points per game0.67
11%Win rate11%
-8Goal difference-7
4Form, last 5 (pts)4
Marumo Gallants form
WLLLLH Siwelele3–2
A Mamelodi Sundowns1–0
A Sekhukhune United2–1
H Orlando Pirates0–2
A Amazulu1–0
Siwelele form
LDWDLA Marumo Gallants3–2
A Polokwane City0–0
H Polokwane City1–0
H Golden Arrows1–1
A Mamelodi Sundowns3–0
Head to head
1
Marumo
1
Draw
1
Siwelele
Oct 2026Marumo Gallants – Siwelele3–2
Apr 2026Marumo Gallants – Siwelele0–0
Sept 2025Siwelele – Marumo Gallants1–0
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Mamelodi Sundowns10+1826
2Orlando Pirates9+1925
3Amazulu9+522
4Milford FC10+418
5Kaizer Chiefs9+414
6Sekhukhune United9014
7Chippa United9-111
8Stellenbosch9-110
9Kruger United9-610
10Golden Arrows9-28
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Marumo Gallants 37%, the draw 27%, Siwelele 35%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.67 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.26 for Marumo Gallants, 1.22 for Siwelele), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Marumo Gallants sit 15th on 5 points; Siwelele are 14th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.