Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
75%
WORUEFA Europa League · League Stage - 2Thursday, 15 October 2026 · Orange Vélodrome
Marseille
34th · 0 pts0–1FULL TIME
Olympiakos Piraeus
5th · 9 pts24% Marseille
25% Draw
52% Olympiakos
OUR PICK
Olympiakos Piraeus to win
Model probability 52% · fair odds
1.93
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.65
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.23X4.0821.93
Goals 2.5Over1.99Under1.89
Both scoreGG1.92NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.99
Over 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.92
GG
52%
Double chance@1.31
X2
76%
Season stats
MarseilleOlympiakos Piraeus0.3Goals per game1.3
2.0Conceded per game0.3
0.00Points per game3.00
0%Win rate100%
-5Goal difference3
0Form, last 5 (pts)9
Marseille form
WWLWLH Toulouse2–0
H Le Havre4–3
A Sturm Graz1–0
A Angers2–5
H Olympiakos Piraeus0–1
Olympiakos Piraeus form
WWWWWA Kifisia2–3
A Marko0–2
H Kalamata5–0
H Sparta Praha1–0
A Panetolikos0–2
Head to head
2
Marseille
0
Draw
3
Olympiakos
Oct 2026Marseille – Olympiakos Piraeus0–1
Dec 2020Marseille – Olympiakos Piraeus2–1
Oct 2020Olympiakos Piraeus – Marseille1–0
Nov 2011Marseille – Olympiakos Piraeus0–1
Sept 2011Olympiakos Piraeus – Marseille0–1
UEFA Europa League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Benfica3+89
2Bayer Leverkusen3+89
3Bournemouth3+79
4Ferencvarosi TC3+69
5Olympiakos Piraeus3+39
6Union St. Gilloise3+77
7Juventus3+67
8Beşiktaş3+47
9Sunderland3+27
10AZ Alkmaar3+46
Match preview
Our model makes Olympiakos Piraeus slight favourites, giving them a 52% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.93 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.03 for Marseille, 1.65 for Olympiakos Piraeus), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Marseille sit 34th on 0 points; Olympiakos Piraeus are 5th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.