Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
79%
ITASerie B · Matchday 11Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Stadio Danilo Martelli
Mantova
4th · 18 pts17:15KICK-OFF WAT
Hellas Verona
7th · 15 pts43% Mantova
24% Draw
33% Hellas
OUR PICK
Mantova to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.32
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.36
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.32X4.1123.07
Goals 2.5Over1.76Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.69NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.69
GG
59%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
MantovaHellas Verona1.5Goals per game1.9
1.1Conceded per game1.3
1.80Points per game1.50
50%Win rate40%
4Goal difference6
7Form, last 5 (pts)8
Mantova form
DLWLWA Modena1–1
H Cremonese0–2
A Virtus Entella0–1
H Palermo0–2
A Catanzaro1–3
Hellas Verona form
WWDDLH Carrarese3–0
A Juve Stabia0–1
H Pisa1–1
H Catanzaro2–2
A Modena3–2
Head to head
0
Mantova
0
Draw
0
Hellas
These sides haven't met recently.
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo10+1226
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli10+1019
4Mantova10+418
5Avellino10+515
6Benevento10+415
7Hellas Verona10+615
8Pisa10+315
9Padova10-114
10Sudtirol10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Mantova slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.32 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.60 for Mantova, 1.36 for Hellas Verona), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Mantova sit 4th on 18 points; Hellas Verona are 7th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.