Over 1.5 goals@1.27
Over 1.5
79%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 11Thursday, 15 October 2026 · Field Mill
Mansfield Town
12th · 18 pts1–1FULL TIME
Oxford United
3rd · 23 pts33% Mansfield
24% Draw
42% Oxford
OUR PICK
Oxford United to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.36
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.57
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.02X4.0822.36
Goals 2.5Over1.78Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.70NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.78
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.70
GG
59%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
Mansfield TownOxford United1.7Goals per game1.7
1.5Conceded per game0.9
1.50Points per game1.92
42%Win rate50%
2Goal difference9
10Form, last 5 (pts)9
Mansfield Town form
LWWDWH Notts County0–2
A Blackpool1–4
A AFC Wimbledon0–3
H Oxford United1–1
H Bromley2–1
Oxford United form
DWDWDA Barnsley1–1
H Stockport County1–0
H Bradford0–0
H Wigan2–1
A Mansfield Town1–1
Head to head
1
Mansfield
3
Draw
1
Oxford
Oct 2026Mansfield Town – Oxford United1–1
Jul 2024Mansfield Town – Oxford United1–0
Feb 2016Oxford United – Mansfield Town2–2
Aug 2015Mansfield Town – Oxford United1–1
Feb 2015Oxford United – Mansfield Town3–0
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Mansfield Town 33%, the draw 24%, Oxford United 42%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.36 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.36 for Mansfield Town, 1.57 for Oxford United), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Mansfield Town sit 12th on 18 points; Oxford United are 3rd on 23.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.