Over 1.5 goals@1.30
Over 1.5
77%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 14Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Field Mill
Mansfield Town
12th · 18 pts0–2FULL TIME
Notts County
17th · 14 pts55% Mansfield
23% Draw
21% Notts
OUR PICK
Mansfield Town to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.80
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.01
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.80X4.3024.69
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under2.01
Both scoreGG1.89NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.89
Over 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.89
GG
53%
Double chance@1.27
1X
79%
Season stats
Mansfield TownNotts County1.7Goals per game1.1
1.5Conceded per game1.2
1.50Points per game1.17
42%Win rate25%
2Goal difference-1
10Form, last 5 (pts)7
Mansfield Town form
LWWDWH Notts County0–2
A Blackpool1–4
A AFC Wimbledon0–3
H Oxford United1–1
H Bromley2–1
Notts County form
WDWLWA Mansfield Town0–2
H Stockport County1–1
H Sheffield Wednesday2–0
A Wycombe2–0
H Nottingham Forest U215–1
Head to head
3
Mansfield
0
Draw
2
Notts
Oct 2026Mansfield Town – Notts County0–2
Feb 2024Mansfield Town – Notts County1–0
Oct 2023Notts County – Mansfield Town1–4
Feb 2019Notts County – Mansfield Town1–0
Dec 2018Mansfield Town – Notts County2–0
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model makes Mansfield Town clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.80 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.8 goals in total (1.78 for Mansfield Town, 1.01 for Notts County), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Mansfield Town sit 12th on 18 points; Notts County are 17th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.