Over 1.5 goals@1.11
Over 1.5
90%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 10Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Field Mill
Mansfield Town
12th · 18 pts2–1FULL TIME
Bromley
24th · 9 pts75% Mansfield
14% Draw
11% Bromley
OUR PICK
Mansfield Town to win
Model probability 75% · fair odds
1.34
Expected goals
2.87 – 1.05
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.34X6.9329.04
Goals 2.5Over1.34Under3.77
Both scoreGG1.63NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.34
Over 2.5
75%
Both teams to score@1.63
GG
61%
Double chance@1.12
1X
89%
Season stats
Mansfield TownBromley1.7Goals per game1.0
1.5Conceded per game2.5
1.50Points per game0.69
42%Win rate15%
2Goal difference-20
10Form, last 5 (pts)1
Mansfield Town form
LWWDWH Notts County0–2
A Blackpool1–4
A AFC Wimbledon0–3
H Oxford United1–1
H Bromley2–1
Bromley form
LLDLLA Wigan3–2
A Milton Keynes Dons4–1
H Peterborough1–1
H Leicester0–4
A Stockport County1–0
Head to head
1
Mansfield
0
Draw
0
Bromley
Oct 2026Mansfield Town – Bromley2–1
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday13+820
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model makes Mansfield Town clear favourites, giving them a 75% chance of winning against 14% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.34 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.9 goals in total (2.87 for Mansfield Town, 1.05 for Bromley), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Mansfield Town sit 12th on 18 points; Bromley are 24th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.