Over 1.5 goals@1.73
Over 1.5
58%
ZIMPremier Soccer League · Matchday 30Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Sakubva Stadium
Manica Diamonds
18th · 21 pts0–0FULL TIME
TelOne
17th · 22 pts30% Manica
31% Draw
39% TelOne
OUR PICK
TelOne to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.59
Expected goals
0.89 – 1.05
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.32X3.2022.59
Goals 2.5Over3.04Under1.44
Both scoreGG2.48NG1.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.44
Under 2.5
69%
Both teams to score@1.62
NG
62%
Double chance@1.43
X2
70%
Season stats
Manica DiamondsTelOne0.4Goals per game0.8
1.4Conceded per game1.5
0.66Points per game0.69
13%Win rate13%
-31Goal difference-24
2Form, last 5 (pts)2
Manica Diamonds form
LDDLLH Bulawayo Chiefs0–1
A Highlanders0–0
H TelOne0–0
A Hunters1–0
A Agama1–0
TelOne form
LLDDLA Agama3–2
H Hunters2–3
A Manica Diamonds0–0
H Ngezi Platinum2–2
A Hardrock4–1
Head to head
2
Manica
3
Draw
0
TelOne
Oct 2026Manica Diamonds – TelOne0–0
May 2026TelOne – Manica Diamonds1–2
Aug 2025TelOne – Manica Diamonds0–1
Apr 2025Manica Diamonds – TelOne2–2
Jul 2024Manica Diamonds – TelOne0–0
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hardrock32+3669
2Scotland Mabvuku31+3564
3Ngezi Platinum32+1356
4Dynamos32+1752
5CAPS United32+1051
6Herentals32-148
7MWOS32+945
8Highlanders32+444
9Platinum32043
10Chicken Inn31-143
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Manica Diamonds 30%, the draw 31%, TelOne 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.59 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (0.89 for Manica Diamonds, 1.05 for TelOne), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Manica Diamonds sit 18th on 21 points; TelOne are 17th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.