Over 1.5 goals@1.90
Over 1.5
53%
ZIMPremier Soccer League · Matchday 32Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Sakubva Stadium
Manica Diamonds
18th · 21 pts0–1FULL TIME
Bulawayo Chiefs
13th · 34 pts24% Manica
33% Draw
44% Bulawayo
OUR PICK
Bulawayo Chiefs to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.29
Expected goals
0.70 – 1.06
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.19X3.0722.29
Goals 2.5Over3.63Under1.35
Both scoreGG2.86NG1.49
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.35
Under 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.49
NG
67%
Double chance@1.31
X2
76%
Season stats
Manica DiamondsBulawayo Chiefs0.4Goals per game0.8
1.4Conceded per game1.2
0.66Points per game1.06
13%Win rate25%
-31Goal difference-11
2Form, last 5 (pts)3
Manica Diamonds form
LDDLLH Bulawayo Chiefs0–1
A Highlanders0–0
H TelOne0–0
A Hunters1–0
A Agama1–0
Bulawayo Chiefs form
WLLLLA Manica Diamonds0–1
H Ngezi Platinum0–2
A Hardrock2–0
H Triangle United1–2
A Herentals2–1
Head to head
1
Manica
3
Draw
1
Bulawayo
Oct 2026Manica Diamonds – Bulawayo Chiefs0–1
Jun 2026Bulawayo Chiefs – Manica Diamonds0–0
Nov 2024Manica Diamonds – Bulawayo Chiefs2–1
Jun 2024Bulawayo Chiefs – Manica Diamonds0–0
Nov 2023Bulawayo Chiefs – Manica Diamonds2–2
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hardrock32+3669
2Scotland Mabvuku31+3564
3Ngezi Platinum32+1356
4Dynamos32+1752
5CAPS United32+1051
6Herentals32-148
7MWOS32+945
8Highlanders32+444
9Platinum32043
10Chicken Inn31-143
Match preview
Our model makes Bulawayo Chiefs slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 33% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.29 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (0.70 for Manica Diamonds, 1.06 for Bulawayo Chiefs), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Manica Diamonds sit 18th on 21 points; Bulawayo Chiefs are 13th on 34.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.