Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
71%
ENGPremier League · Matchday 6Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Old Trafford
Manchester United
17th · 7 pts1–1FULL TIME
Tottenham
9th · 12 pts34% Manchester
27% Draw
39% Tottenham
OUR PICKSolo pick of the day
Under 2.5
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.81
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.28
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.92X3.6822.59
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.81
Both scoreGG1.99NG1.89
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.81
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.99
GG
50%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
Manchester UnitedTottenham1.1Goals per game1.1
1.7Conceded per game1.1
0.78Points per game1.33
11%Win rate33%
-5Goal difference0
3Form, last 5 (pts)10
Manchester United form
LLLDLA Chelsea2–0
H Bournemouth0–3
A Como4–1
A Leeds1–1
A Atletico Madrid2–0
Tottenham form
WWWDLH Crystal Palace2–0
A Chelsea0–2
H Coventry3–1
A Manchester United1–1
H Aston Villa2–3
Head to head
1
Manchester
2
Draw
2
Tottenham
Oct 2026Manchester United – Tottenham1–1
Feb 2026Manchester United – Tottenham2–0
Nov 2025Tottenham – Manchester United2–2
May 2025Tottenham – Manchester United1–0
Feb 2025Tottenham – Manchester United1–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Arsenal9+924
2Manchester City9+1021
3Brighton9+1719
4Chelsea9+416
5Liverpool9+215
6Brentford9+714
7Everton9013
8Bournemouth9+112
9Tottenham9012
10Aston Villa9-312
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Manchester United 34%, the draw 27%, Tottenham 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.59 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.19 for Manchester United, 1.28 for Tottenham), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Manchester United sit 17th on 7 points; Tottenham are 9th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.