Over 1.5 goals@1.10
Over 1.5
91%
WORUEFA Champions League · League Stage - 4Tuesday, 3 November 2026 · Old Trafford
Manchester United
21st · 3 pts21:00KICK-OFF WAT
AS Roma
15th · 4 pts37% Manchester
21% Draw
42% AS
OUR PICK
AS Roma to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.40
Expected goals
1.93 – 2.04
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.67X4.8122.40
Goals 2.5Over1.32Under3.93
Both scoreGG1.34NG3.63
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.32
Over 2.5
76%
Both teams to score@1.34
GG
74%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
Manchester UnitedAS Roma1.7Goals per game2.7
2.0Conceded per game1.7
1.00Points per game1.33
33%Win rate33%
-1Goal difference3
3Form, last 5 (pts)4
Manchester United form
LLLDLA Chelsea2–0
H Bournemouth0–3
A Como4–1
A Leeds1–1
A Atletico Madrid2–0
AS Roma form
WWDWWA Udinese2–5
H Cagliari4–2
A Napoli3–3
H Slovan Bratislava4–0
H Genoa2–0
Head to head
0
Manchester
0
Draw
0
AS
These sides haven't met recently.
UEFA Champions League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain3+99
2Aston Villa3+99
3Liverpool3+59
4Real Madrid3+59
5Real Betis3+39
6VfB Stuttgart3+57
7Arsenal3+47
8Barcelona3+56
9Como3+56
10Manchester City3+46
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Manchester United 37%, the draw 21%, AS Roma 42%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.40 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.0 goals in total (1.93 for Manchester United, 2.04 for AS Roma), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Manchester United sit 21st on 3 points; AS Roma are 15th on 4.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.