Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
SOUPremier Soccer League · Matchday 9Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Loftus Versfeld Stadium
Mamelodi Sundowns
1st · 26 pts4–1FULL TIME
Durban City
13th · 7 pts70% Mamelodi
20% Draw
10% Durban
OUR PICK
Mamelodi Sundowns to win
Model probability 70% · fair odds
1.42
Expected goals
1.99 – 0.60
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.42X5.1229.82
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.92
Both scoreGG2.42NG1.64
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.92
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.64
NG
61%
Double chance@1.11
1X
90%
Season stats
Mamelodi SundownsDurban City2.7Goals per game0.7
0.9Conceded per game1.2
2.60Points per game0.78
80%Win rate11%
18Goal difference-5
13Form, last 5 (pts)2
Mamelodi Sundowns form
No recent matches.
Durban City form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Mamelodi
0
Draw
0
Durban
These sides haven't met recently.
Premier Soccer League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Mamelodi Sundowns10+1826
2Orlando Pirates9+1925
3Amazulu9+522
4Milford FC10+418
5Kaizer Chiefs9+414
6Sekhukhune United9014
7Chippa United9-111
8Stellenbosch9-110
9Kruger United9-610
10Golden Arrows9-28
Match preview
Our model makes Mamelodi Sundowns clear favourites, giving them a 70% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.42 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.99 for Mamelodi Sundowns, 0.60 for Durban City), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Mamelodi Sundowns sit 1st on 26 points; Durban City are 13th on 7.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.