Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 27Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Eleda Stadion
Malmo FF
7th · 40 pts1–2LIVE 64'
Hammarby FF
2nd · 52 pts25% Malmo
25% Draw
50% Hammarby
OUR PICK
Hammarby FF to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
1.99
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.63
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.97X4.0621.99
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.88NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.97
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.88
GG
53%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
Malmo FFHammarby FF1.6Goals per game2.1
1.3Conceded per game0.8
1.54Points per game2.00
46%Win rate62%
7Goal difference33
7Form, last 5 (pts)12
Malmo FF form
No recent matches.
Hammarby FF form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Malmo
0
Draw
0
Hammarby
These sides haven't met recently.
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Sirius26+2255
2Hammarby FF26+3352
3Djurgardens IF26+2949
4BK Hacken26+1746
5IF Elfsborg26+1343
6Vasteras SK FK26+141
7Malmo FF26+740
8AIK Stockholm26-338
9IFK Goteborg26-938
10Gais26+634
Match preview
Our model makes Hammarby FF slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.99 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.08 for Malmo FF, 1.63 for Hammarby FF), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Malmo FF sit 7th on 40 points; Hammarby FF are 2nd on 52.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.