Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
79%
SWEAllsvenskan · Matchday 24Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Eleda Stadion
Malmo FF
7th · 40 pts0–1FULL TIME
BK Hacken
4th · 49 pts38% Malmo
24% Draw
38% BK
OUR PICK
BK Hacken to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.65
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.48
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.65X4.0822.65
Goals 2.5Over1.76Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.68NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.68
GG
60%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
Malmo FFBK Hacken1.6Goals per game1.8
1.3Conceded per game1.1
1.48Points per game1.81
44%Win rate48%
6Goal difference18
7Form, last 5 (pts)13
Malmo FF form
LWDLWH Hammarby FF1–2
A Halmstad0–3
A IF Elfsborg0–0
H BK Hacken0–1
H Kalmar FF1–0
BK Hacken form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Malmo
0
Draw
0
BK
These sides haven't met recently.
Allsvenskan table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hammarby FF27+3455
2Sirius26+2255
3Djurgardens IF27+3052
4BK Hacken27+1849
5IF Elfsborg27+1446
6Vasteras SK FK27+244
7Malmo FF27+640
8AIK Stockholm26-338
9IFK Goteborg27-1038
10Gais26+634
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Malmo FF 38%, the draw 24%, BK Hacken 38%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.65 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.48 for Malmo FF, 1.48 for BK Hacken), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Malmo FF sit 7th on 40 points; BK Hacken are 4th on 49.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.