Over 1.5 goals@1.71
Over 1.5
59%
ESPSegunda División · Matchday 12Monday, 2 November 2026 · Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Mallorca
7th · 19 pts21:00KICK-OFF WAT
Cadiz
19th · 10 pts53% Mallorca
29% Draw
18% Cadiz
OUR PICK
Mallorca to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.89
Expected goals
1.32 – 0.65
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.89X3.4825.45
Goals 2.5Over2.95Under1.46
Both scoreGG2.70NG1.54
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.46
Under 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.54
NG
65%
Double chance@1.22
1X
82%
Season stats
MallorcaCadiz1.2Goals per game1.3
0.5Conceded per game1.3
1.73Points per game0.91
45%Win rate18%
7Goal difference0
6Form, last 5 (pts)7
Mallorca form
No recent matches.
Cadiz form
WWLLWA Xerez1–3
H AD Ceuta FC3–1
A Granada CF2–0
H Sporting Gijon0–1
H Leganes4–0
Head to head
2
Mallorca
2
Draw
1
Cadiz
Apr 2024Cadiz – Mallorca1–1
Nov 2023Mallorca – Cadiz1–1
May 2023Mallorca – Cadiz1–0
Jan 2023Cadiz – Mallorca2–0
Feb 2022Mallorca – Cadiz2–1
Segunda División table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Castellón11+1826
2Almeria12+1326
3Eibar12+723
4Girona12+1121
5Granada CF11+420
6Burgos11+420
7Mallorca11+719
8Sporting Gijon11-219
9Oviedo11+318
10Sabadell12+117
Match preview
Our model makes Mallorca clear favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 29% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.89 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.0 goals in total (1.32 for Mallorca, 0.65 for Cadiz), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Mallorca sit 7th on 19 points; Cadiz are 19th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.