Over 1.5 goals@1.77
Over 1.5
57%
MARBotola Pro · Matchday 3Thursday, 8 October 2026
Maghreb Fès
10th · 8 pts0–0FULL TIME
Raja Casablanca
13th · 6 pts43% Maghreb
31% Draw
25% Raja
OUR PICK
Maghreb Fès to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.30
Expected goals
1.12 – 0.78
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.30X3.2123.94
Goals 2.5Over3.14Under1.42
Both scoreGG2.62NG1.57
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Under 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.57
NG
64%
Double chance@1.34
1X
75%
Season stats
Maghreb FèsRaja Casablanca0.8Goals per game0.6
0.8Conceded per game0.8
1.33Points per game1.20
33%Win rate20%
0Goal difference-1
5Form, last 5 (pts)6
Maghreb Fès form
LDWDLA Widad Témara1–0
H Renaissance Berkane0–0
A ASEC Mimosas1–2
H ASEC Mimosas1–1
A Ittihad Tanger2–1
Raja Casablanca form
LDWDDA Renaissance Berkane2–0
H Hassania Agadir1–1
H El Kanemi Warriors2–0
A El Kanemi Warriors2–2
A FUS Rabat1–1
Head to head
0
Maghreb
4
Draw
1
Raja
Oct 2026Maghreb Fès – Raja Casablanca0–0
May 2026Maghreb Fès – Raja Casablanca0–2
Oct 2025Raja Casablanca – Maghreb Fès1–1
Feb 2025Raja Casablanca – Maghreb Fès0–0
Oct 2024Maghreb Fès – Raja Casablanca0–0
Botola Pro table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Kawkab Marrakech6+313
2CODM Meknès6+511
3Wydad AC6+211
4Ittihad Tanger6+110
5Widad Témara6+39
6FAR Rabat4+38
7Hassania Agadir6+28
8UTS Rabat608
9Difaa EL Jadida608
10Maghreb Fès608
Match preview
Our model makes Maghreb Fès slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 31% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.30 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (1.12 for Maghreb Fès, 0.78 for Raja Casablanca), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Maghreb Fès sit 10th on 8 points; Raja Casablanca are 13th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.